![]() ![]() Some forms of violence against civilian populations in wartime are increasing, posing challenges to the protection of civilians. ![]() 60% of conflicts in the early 2000s relapsed within five years. With a decline in civil wars ending in military victory, the conflict relapse rate has increased.From 2011 to today, there has been a six-fold increase in battle deaths, with 20 being the deadliest years on the battlefield since the end of the Cold War.The number of minor civil wars have also risen in recent years, largely due to the expansion of the Islamic State and its affiliates. After declining for much of the 1990s, the number of major civil wars has almost tripled in the past decade.This paper provides insights into major recent trends in violent conflict, and analyses the implications of these trends for international actors engaged in conflict prevention and management. 25 Project Status: Completed UNU-CPR RESEARCHERS: Sebastian von Einsiedel, Louise Bosetti, Cale Salih, Wilfred Wan, Dr James Cockayne. ![]()
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